Neural networks are known to be susceptible to over-reliance on spurious correlations. However, the precise mechanism by which models exploit shortcut features is not fully understood, and algorithms to mitigate this behavior rely on as yet unjustified assumptions about the learned representations. In this work, we provide the first end-to-end theoretical characterization of spurious feature learning for two-layer ReLU neural networks trained by online minibatch SGD on the logistic loss. We consider data drawn from the high-dimensional Boolean hypercube with a quadratic signal function (namely XOR) and a linear spurious correlation. We show that SGD learns the spurious feature first, and exponentially fast. Moreover, the optimization dynamics couple the spurious and signal features, with a stronger spurious component inhibiting signal feature learning. Our analysis reveals precise phase transitions in the learning dynamics. In the first phase, alignment between the signs of the spurious feature and second-layer weight drives rapid growth of the spurious feature. In the second phase, large majority group margin slows learning and the signal feature remains suppressed. When the spurious correlation is maximally strong, we show theoretically that the spurious feature dominates even at the sample complexity threshold where XOR would be learned in isolation (i.e., if the spurious feature was absent). In contrast, when the correlation strength is constant, we provide preliminary empirical evidence that the model can eventually learn the XOR signal, although the spurious feature is not forgotten.

Adam is the de facto optimization algorithm for several deep learning applications, but an understanding of its implicit bias and how it differs from other algorithms, particularly standard first-order methods such as (stochastic) gradient descent (GD), remains limited. In practice, neural networks (NNs) trained with SGD are known to exhibit simplicity bias -- a tendency to find simple solutions. In contrast, we show that Adam is more resistant to such simplicity bias. First, we investigate the differences in the implicit biases of Adam and GD when training two-layer ReLUNNs on a binary classification task with Gaussian data. We find that GD exhibits a simplicity bias, resulting in a linear decision boundary with a suboptimal margin, whereas Adam leads to much richer and more diverse features, producing a nonlinear boundary that is closer to the Bayes' optimal predictor. This richer decision boundary also allows Adam to achieve higher test accuracy both in-distribution and under certain distribution shifts. We theoretically prove these results by analyzing the population gradients. Next, to corroborate our theoretical findings, we present extensive empirical results showing that this property of Adam leads to superior generalization across various datasets with spurious correlations where NNs trained with SGD are known to show simplicity bias and do not generalize well under certain distributional shifts.

Neural networks generally prefer simple and easy-to-learn features. When these features are spuriously correlated with the labels, the network's performance can suffer, particularly for underrepresented classes or concepts. Self-supervised representation learning methods, such as contrastive learning, are especially prone to this issue, often resulting in worse performance on downstream tasks. We identify a key spectral signature of this failure: early reliance on dominant singular modes of the learned feature matrix. To mitigate this, we propose a novel framework that promotes a uniform eigenspectrum of the feature covariance matrix, encouraging diverse and semantically rich representations. Our method operates in a fully self-supervised setting, without relying on ground-truth labels or any additional information. Empirical results on SimCLR and SimSiam demonstrate consistent gains in robustness and transfer performance, suggesting broad applicability across self-supervised learning paradigms.

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is crucial for ensuring the reliability and safety of machine learning models in real-world applications, where they frequently face data distributions unseen during training. Despite progress, existing methods are often vulnerable to spurious correlations that mislead models and compromise robustness. To address this, we propose SPROD, a novel prototype-based OOD detection approach that explicitly addresses the challenge posed by unknown spurious correlations. Our post-hoc method refines class prototypes to mitigate bias from spurious features without additional data or hyperparameter tuning, and is broadly applicable across diverse backbones and OOD detection settings. We conduct a comprehensive spurious correlation OOD detection benchmarking, comparing our method against existing approaches and demonstrating its superior performance across challenging OOD datasets, such as CelebA, Waterbirds, UrbanCars, Spurious Imagenet, and the newly introduced Animals MetaCoCo. On average, SPROD improves AUROC by 4.8% and FPR@95 by 9.4% over the second best.

Spurious correlations occur when models rely on non-essential features that coincidentally co-vary with target labels, leading to incorrect reasoning under distribution shift. We consider spurious correlations in Large Vision Language Models (LVLMs) pretrained on extensive and diverse datasets without explicit task supervision. We develop a benchmark by sourcing GPT-4o errors on real-world visual-question-answering (VQA) benchmarks, then curating a subset through LVLM-human annotation and synthetic counterfactual evaluation to identify errors caused by spurious correlations. This process yields SpuriVerse, a novel benchmark comprised of 124 distinct types of spurious correlations extracted from real-world datasets, each containing 1 realistic and 10 synthetic VQA samples for a total of 1364 multiple choice questions. We evaluate 15 open and closed-source LVLMs on SpuriVerse, finding that even state-of-the-art closed-source models struggle significantly, achieving at best only 35.0% accuracy. Fine-tuning on synthetic examples that emphasize the spurious correlation improves performance to 78.4%, suggesting that training on diverse spurious patterns generalizes to unseen situations: models appear to learn to avoid "shortcuts" and attend to the overall image context.

AsInstrategic classification, aninstitution(e.g., a bank) anticipates adaptation from userswe develop better algorithms under varying assumpwho change their features to increase utilitytions about adaptation (Levanon and Rosenfeld, 2022; in a classification task (e.g., loan repayment). Kleinberg and Raghavan, 2018), there are growing Since a key challenge is the distribution shiftconcerns about negative social impact on the agents who adapt to these systems, whether outcomes areinduced by users, we turn to causal models, which have been shown to bound the worst-static (Milli et al., 2019) or dynamic (G ois et al., case out-of-distribution (OOD) risk, and es-2025). When agents adapt, depending on the untablish several new results that link causal-derlying causal model (Horowitz and Rosenfeld, 2018; ity and strategic classification. First, we Miller et al., 2020), some changes improve agent outcomes while others constitute gaming the classifier,show that causal classification leads to optimal classification error after any sufficientlyworsening classification error. In this paper, we study large adaptation, when the noise is boundedwhether classifiers can maintain accuracy without sacin a certain way. Second, when these as-rificing alignment with predicted agent's goals.

Modern Artificial Intelligence achieves remarkable predictive power by optimizing statistical risk functionals over vast corpora. Yet a gap separates this from genuine intelligence: the inability to distinguish correlation from causation. This paper argues that causal inference (identifying mechanisms invariant under intervention) is AI's indispensable statistical conscience. Without causal grounding, AI systems are correlation machines: powerful in familiar domains, brittle under distribution shift, and biased in high-stakes settings. Three contributions develop this argument. First, a Statistical Necessity Theorem for Causal Generalization: any algorithm achieving out-of-distribution generalization must encode causal structure, formalizing the distinction between prediction P(Y|X) and intelligence P(Y|do(X)). Second, a unified framework connects Pearl's do-calculus, the Potential Outcomes framework, Double Machine Learning, and Invariant Risk Minimization as a family of Causal Statistical Estimators, each identifying interventional distributions under different assumptions. Third, three AI failure modes (hallucination in large language models, reward hacking in reinforcement learning from human feedback, and degradation under distribution shift) are manifestations of causal blindness, each admitting a principled statistical remedy. Trustworthy AI is, at its core, a problem of causal statistics. The statistical community is not merely equipped to solve it -- it is the only community with the foundational tools to do so rigorously.

A common explanation for the failure of out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization is that the model trained with empirical risk minimization (ERM) learns spurious features instead of invariant features. However, several recent studies challenged this explanation and found that deep networks may have already learned sufficiently good features for OOD generalization. Despite the contradictions at first glance, we theoretically show that ERM essentially learns both spurious and invariant features, while ERM tends to learn spurious features faster if the spurious correlation is stronger. Moreover, when fed the ERM learned features to the OOD objectives, the invariant feature learning quality significantly affects the final OOD performance, as OOD objectives rarely learn new features. Therefore, ERM feature learning can be a bottleneck to OOD generalization. To alleviate the reliance, we propose Feature Augmented Training (FeAT), to enforce the model to learn richer features ready for OOD generalization. FeAT iteratively augments the model to learn new features while retaining the already learned features. In each round, the retention and augmentation operations are performed on different subsets of the training data that capture distinct features. Extensive experiments show that FeAT effectively learns richer features thus boosting the performance of various OOD objectives1.

By inferring latent groups in the training data, recent works introduce invariant learning to the case where environment annotations are unavailable. Typically, learning group invariance under a majority/minority split is empirically shown to be effective in improving out-of-distribution generalization on many datasets. However, theoretical guarantee for these methods on learning invariant mechanisms is lacking. In this paper, we reveal the insufficiency of existing group invariant learning methods in preventing classifiers from depending on spurious correlations in the training set. Specifically, we propose two criteria on judging such sufficiency. Theoretically and empirically, we show that existing methods can violate both criteria and thus fail in generalizing to spurious correlation shifts. Motivated by this, we design a new group invariant learning method, which constructs groups with statistical independence tests, and reweights samples by group label proportion to meet the criteria. Experiments on both synthetic and real data demonstrate that the new method significantly outperforms existing group invariant learning methods in generalizing to spurious correlation shifts1.